| Date | Opponent | PASS YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs vs SEA | 183 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ @ DAL | 111 |
StatIQ projects Marcus Mariota for 185.7 passing yards against IND in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Marcus Mariota has averaged 126 yards over his last 5 games and 147 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Marcus Mariota for 185.7 yards passing yards against IND in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Marcus Mariota has averaged 126 yards over his last 5 games and 147 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.