StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Mack Hollins Projections

NE · WR · #13
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs BUF
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.4receptions projected vs BUF
Season average 4 · Last five 4.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
023574SEA2PIT6JAXStatIQ projection 3.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ JAX6
Sep 20, 2026vs vs PIT2
Sep 10, 2026@ @ SEA4
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Mack Hollins
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Mack Hollins done against BUF?2 per game2 games vs BUFExplore this question

Projection context: Mack Hollins, 3.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Mack Hollins for 3.4 receptions against BUF in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Mack Hollins has averaged 4.6 over his last 5 games, 4 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 2 games against BUF. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Mack Hollins’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
BUF
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Mack Hollins vs BUF?

StatIQ projects Mack Hollins for 3.4 receptions against BUF in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Mack Hollins performed in receptions recently?

Mack Hollins has averaged 4.6 over his last 5 games, 4 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 2 games against BUF. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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