StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Justin Herbert Projections

LAC · QB · #10
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs SEA
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
18.7rushing yards projected vs SEA
Season average 16 · Last five 25.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
0816243229ARI2LV17BUFStatIQ projection 18.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ BUF17
Sep 20, 2026vs vs LV2
Sep 13, 2026vs vs ARI29
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Justin Herbert
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Justin Herbert trending lately?25.4 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Justin Herbert, 18.7 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Justin Herbert for 18.7 rushing yards against SEA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Justin Herbert has averaged 25.4 yards over his last 5 games and 16 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Justin Herbert’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SEA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
25.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Justin Herbert vs SEA?

StatIQ projects Justin Herbert for 18.7 yards rushing yards against SEA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Justin Herbert performed in rushing yards recently?

Justin Herbert has averaged 25.4 yards over his last 5 games and 16 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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