StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jaylen Warren Projections

PIT · RB · #30
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CLE
Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
86.4rush + rec yards projected vs CLE
Season average 108.7 · Last five 97.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 28.8 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
0499914819773ATL77NE176CINStatIQ projection 86.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs CIN176
Sep 20, 2026@ @ NE77
Sep 13, 2026vs vs ATL73
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jaylen Warren
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Jaylen Warren done against CLE?63.5 yards per game2 games vs CLEExplore this question

Projection context: Jaylen Warren, 86.4 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projected Jaylen Warren for 86.4 rush + rec yards against CLE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — this matchup has already been played, so the game log above already carries the actual result.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jaylen Warren has averaged 97.8 yards over his last 5 games, 108.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 63.5 yards across 2 games against CLE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jaylen Warren’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.8yards
average projection miss
184 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CLE
Kickoff
Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
97.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Jaylen Warren vs CLE?

StatIQ projected Jaylen Warren for 86.4 yards rush + rec yards against CLE in Week 4. That game has already been played, so the game log on the page shows the actual result. The projection is a single number, not a range or a guaranteed outcome.

How has Jaylen Warren performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Jaylen Warren has averaged 97.8 yards over his last 5 games, 108.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 63.5 yards across 2 games against CLE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 184 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CLE vs PIT
the whole game
See the full NFL slate