StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Ja'Marr Chase Projections

CIN · WR · #1
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
7.1receptions projected vs JAX
Season average 6 · Last five 6.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
0358102TB7HOU9PITStatIQ projection 7.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT9
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU7
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Ja'Marr Chase
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Ja'Marr Chase done against JAX?14 per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Ja'Marr Chase, 7.1 receptions

StatIQ projects Ja'Marr Chase for 7.1 receptions against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 6.6 over his last 5 games, 6 per game this season (2026), and 14 across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Ja'Marr Chase’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
6.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Ja'Marr Chase vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Ja'Marr Chase for 7.1 receptions against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Ja'Marr Chase performed in receptions recently?

Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 6.6 over his last 5 games, 6 per game this season (2026), and 14 across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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