StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Deebo Samuel Projections

SF · WR · #19
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
vs SEA
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
3.4receptions projected vs SEA
Season average 3.5 · Last five 3.2
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
023576LAR3MIA0ARI5DENStatIQ projection 3.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Oct 4, 2026vs vs DEN5
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI0
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA3
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR6
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Deebo Samuel
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Deebo Samuel done against SEA?5 per game1 game vs SEAExplore this question

Projection context: Deebo Samuel, 3.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Deebo Samuel for 3.4 receptions against SEA in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Deebo Samuel has averaged 3.2 over his last 5 games, 3.5 per game this season (2026), and 5 across 1 game against SEA. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Deebo Samuel’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
532 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SEA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 10:13 PM
Recent form
3.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Deebo Samuel vs SEA?

StatIQ projects Deebo Samuel for 3.4 receptions against SEA in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Deebo Samuel performed in receptions recently?

Deebo Samuel has averaged 3.2 over his last 5 games, 3.5 per game this season (2026), and 5 across 1 game against SEA. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 532 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of SEA vs SF
the whole game
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