StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Dalton Kincaid Projections

BUF · TE · #86
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs NE
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.7receptions projected vs NE
Season average 4.7 · Last five 3.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
024685HOU7DET2LACStatIQ projection 3.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs LAC2
Sep 18, 2026vs vs DET7
Sep 13, 2026@ @ HOU5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Dalton Kincaid
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Dalton Kincaid done against NE?4.5 per game2 games vs NEExplore this question

Projection context: Dalton Kincaid, 3.7 receptions

StatIQ projects Dalton Kincaid for 3.7 receptions against NE in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Dalton Kincaid has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games, 4.7 per game this season (2026), and 4.5 across 2 games against NE. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Dalton Kincaid’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NE
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
3.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Dalton Kincaid vs NE?

StatIQ projects Dalton Kincaid for 3.7 receptions against NE in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Dalton Kincaid performed in receptions recently?

Dalton Kincaid has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games, 4.7 per game this season (2026), and 4.5 across 2 games against NE. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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