StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Cole Kmet Projections

CHI · TE · #85
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs NYJ
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
1.6receptions projected vs NYJ
Season average 0.7 · Last five 1.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
011222CAR0MIN0PHIStatIQ projection 1.6
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 29, 2026vs vs PHI0
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIN0
Sep 13, 2026@ @ CAR2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Cole Kmet
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Cole Kmet trending lately?1.2 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Cole Kmet, 1.6 receptions

StatIQ projects Cole Kmet for 1.6 receptions against NYJ in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Cole Kmet has averaged 1.2 over his last 5 games and 0.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Cole Kmet’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NYJ
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Cole Kmet vs NYJ?

StatIQ projects Cole Kmet for 1.6 receptions against NYJ in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Cole Kmet performed in receptions recently?

Cole Kmet has averaged 1.2 over his last 5 games and 0.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CHI vs NYJ
the whole game
See the full NFL slate