Average · last 5 games 1.6
Average miss 1.6 · NFL reception model · 146 graded projections · Updated Oct 18
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Average · last 5 games 1.6
Average miss 1.6 · NFL reception model · 146 graded projections · Updated Oct 18
Measured, not bet
NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.
| Market | Projection | Line | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Receiving Yards | 22.6 | 13.5 | +9.1 |
1.0Average receptions, last 10 (10 games)Over 1.5 in 4 of 10 · past results, not odds
Current through Oct 4 · ● landed over · ○ did not
| Date | Opponent | REC |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vs DET | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @ CLE | 4 |
| Sep 20 | @ ATL | 0 |
| Jan 3 | @ TB · 2025 | 2 |
| Dec 28 | vs SEA · 2025 | 0 |
| Dec 21 | vs TB · 2025 | 0 |
| Dec 14 | @ NO · 2025 | 0 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAR · 2025 | 0 |
| Nov 24 | @ SF · 2025 | 0 |
| Nov 16 | @ ATL · 2025 | 2 |
Receptions · line 1.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.
| Book | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKingsOct 18, 5:40 AM ET | +111Best | −141 |
| FanDuelOct 18, 5:39 AM ET | +106 | −140Best |
| Hard Rock BetOct 18, 5:39 AM ET | +110 | −140Best |
| Hardrockbet FlOct 18, 5:40 AM ET | +110 | −140Best |
| Shown, never used as our price | ||
| FliffOct 18, 5:39 AM ET | +100 | −145 |
Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.
Prices as of Oct 18, 5:40 AM ET.
Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.
Questions to ask Explorer about Brycen Tremayne, answered here:
1.6average miss (mean absolute error)
74 of 146 within 1.5
Neither number is a range for this game.
StatIQ projects Brycen Tremayne for 1.5 receptions against PHI in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Brycen Tremayne has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 2 per game this season (2026); the model is not recomputed from those averages.
StatIQ projects Brycen Tremayne for 1.5 receptions against PHI in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Brycen Tremayne has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 2 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.
Brycen Tremayne had 2 receptions in his most recent game vs DET. The full game log on the page has the rest.
Across 146 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.6 of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.