StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Amon-Ra St. Brown Projections

DET · WR · #14
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 5, 1:13 AM
vs CAR
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
RUSH+RECREC YDSREC
91.5rush + rec yards projected vs CAR
Season average 76 · Last five 87
Updated Oct 4
Typically within 28.9 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
0408011915967NO142BUF19NYJStatIQ projection 91.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NYJ19
Sep 18, 2026@ @ BUF142
Sep 13, 2026vs vs NO67
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Amon-Ra St. Brown
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Amon-Ra St. Brown trending lately?87 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 91.5 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projected Amon-Ra St. Brown for 91.5 rush + rec yards against CAR in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — this matchup has already been played, so the game log above already carries the actual result.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 87 yards over his last 5 games and 76 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 186 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Amon-Ra St. Brown’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.9yards
average projection miss
186 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CAR
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 5, 1:13 AM
Recent form
87 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Amon-Ra St. Brown vs CAR?

StatIQ projected Amon-Ra St. Brown for 91.5 yards rush + rec yards against CAR in Week 4. That game has already been played, so the game log on the page shows the actual result. The projection is a single number, not a range or a guaranteed outcome.

How has Amon-Ra St. Brown performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 87 yards over his last 5 games and 76 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 186 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CAR vs DET
the whole game
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