StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Amon-Ra St. Brown Projections

DET · WR · #14
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CAR
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
6.5receptions projected vs CAR
Season average 7.7 · Last five 8.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
03681110NO9BUF4NYJStatIQ projection 6.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs NYJ4
Sep 18, 2026@ @ BUF9
Sep 13, 2026vs vs NO10
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Amon-Ra St. Brown
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Amon-Ra St. Brown trending lately?8.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Amon-Ra St. Brown, 6.5 receptions

StatIQ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown for 6.5 receptions against CAR in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 8.4 over his last 5 games and 7.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Amon-Ra St. Brown’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CAR
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
8.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Amon-Ra St. Brown vs CAR?

StatIQ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown for 6.5 receptions against CAR in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Amon-Ra St. Brown performed in receptions recently?

Amon-Ra St. Brown has averaged 8.4 over his last 5 games and 7.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CAR vs DET
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