StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Tetairoa McMillan Projections

CAR · WR · #4
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 5, 1:13 AM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
RUSH+RECREC YDSREC
74.9rush + rec yards projected vs DET
Season average 64.3 · Last five 56.6
Updated Oct 4
Typically within 28.9 yards of the result
Recent rush + rec yards
028578511375CHI101ATL17CLEStatIQ projection 74.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH+REC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ CLE17
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ATL101
Sep 13, 2026vs vs CHI75
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Tetairoa McMillan
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Tetairoa McMillan trending lately?56.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Tetairoa McMillan, 74.9 rush + rec yards

StatIQ projected Tetairoa McMillan for 74.9 rush + rec yards against DET in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — this matchup has already been played, so the game log above already carries the actual result.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 56.6 yards over his last 5 games and 64.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 186 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Tetairoa McMillan’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rush + Rec Yards track record
28.9yards
average projection miss
186 completed rush + rec yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 5, 1:13 AM
Recent form
56.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rush + rec yards projection for Tetairoa McMillan vs DET?

StatIQ projected Tetairoa McMillan for 74.9 yards rush + rec yards against DET in Week 4. That game has already been played, so the game log on the page shows the actual result. The projection is a single number, not a range or a guaranteed outcome.

How has Tetairoa McMillan performed in rush + rec yards recently?

Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 56.6 yards over his last 5 games and 64.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rush + rec yards projections?

Across 186 completed rush + rec yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 28.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CAR vs DET
the whole game
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