StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Aaron Jones Projections

MIN · RB · #33
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs MIA
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
19.8receiving yards projected vs MIA
Season average 11.3 · Last five 10.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0101929380GB0CHI34TBStatIQ projection 19.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ TB34
Sep 20, 2026@ @ CHI0
Sep 13, 2026vs vs GB0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Aaron Jones
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Aaron Jones trending lately?10.4 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Aaron Jones, 19.8 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Aaron Jones for 19.8 receiving yards against MIA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Aaron Jones has averaged 10.4 yards over his last 5 games and 11.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Aaron Jones’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
MIA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
10.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Aaron Jones vs MIA?

StatIQ projects Aaron Jones for 19.8 yards receiving yards against MIA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Aaron Jones performed in receiving yards recently?

Aaron Jones has averaged 10.4 yards over his last 5 games and 11.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of MIA vs MIN
the whole game
See the full NFL slate