StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Malik Willis Projections

MIA · QB · #2
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs MIN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
175.6passing yards projected vs MIN
Season average 209 · Last five 207.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
062123185246220LV197SF210KCStatIQ projection 175.6
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs KC210
Sep 20, 2026@ @ SF197
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LV220
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Malik Willis
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Malik Willis done against MIN?7 yards per game1 game vs MINExplore this question

Projection context: Malik Willis, 175.6 passing yards

StatIQ projects Malik Willis for 175.6 passing yards against MIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Malik Willis has averaged 207.2 yards over his last 5 games, 209 yards per game this season (2026), and 7 yards across 1 game against MIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Malik Willis’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
MIN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
207.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Malik Willis vs MIN?

StatIQ projects Malik Willis for 175.6 yards passing yards against MIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Malik Willis performed in passing yards recently?

Malik Willis has averaged 207.2 yards over his last 5 games, 209 yards per game this season (2026), and 7 yards across 1 game against MIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of MIA vs MIN
the whole game
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