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Detail

Victor Mesa Jr. Prop Projections

Tampa Bay Rays · RF · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

RBIs

Oct 16

Projection only
0.49Projection · rbis
0.5Line · Hard Rock Bet
−0.01Gap
Compare prices

No pick logged for Victor Mesa Jr. on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

MarketProjectionLineGap
RBIs0.490.50−0.01
Hits0.910.50+0.41
Home Runs0.190.50−0.31
Total Bases1.751.50+0.25

Recent games

0.50Average rbis, last 10 (10 games)Under 0.50 in 7 of 10 · past results, not odds

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not

Full game log
Victor Mesa Jr. game log
DateOpponentRBIs
Oct 15@ CLE · Postseason0
Oct 13vs CLE · Postseason0
Oct 12vs CLE · Postseason0
Oct 7@ NYY · Postseason2
Oct 5vs NYY · Postseason0
Oct 3vs NYY · Postseason0
Sep 27@ PHI1
Sep 26@ PHI2
Sep 24@ NYY0
Sep 23@ NYY0
Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN
Victor Mesa Jr. full game log, last 20 games
DateOppResultABRH2B3BHRRBIBBHBPSOSBCSAVGOBPSLGOPS
Oct 15@ CLEL 3-2310000010100.143.217.286.503
Oct 13vs CLEW 3-1410000000200.167.211.333.544
Oct 12vs CLEL 7-3401000000200.214.267.429.695
Oct 7@ NYYW 4-3411001200200.200.273.500.773
Oct 5vs NYYW 5-2300000010110.167.286.167.452
Oct 3vs NYYW 1-0301000000100.333.333.333.667
Sep 27@ PHIL 7-3401000100200.260.327.498.825
Sep 26@ PHIW 12-1534200200000.260.328.502.830
Sep 24@ NYYL 6-4501000000200.248.319.487.805
Sep 23@ NYYL 9-2300000010000.249.321.493.814
Sep 22@ NYYL 2-0301000000000.252.322.500.822
Sep 20vs BOSW 5-1211001110000.251.322.502.825
Sep 19vs BOSW 2-1400000000300.249.318.488.806
Sep 18vs BOSL 4-2311000010100.254.323.498.821
Sep 16vs ATHW 4-3400000000100.252.320.500.820
Sep 15vs ATHW 2-1300000000000.257.326.510.836
Sep 13vs HOUW 14-4533110200100.261.330.518.848
Sep 12vs HOUW 3-2211000020100.253.324.500.824
Sep 11vs HOUW 3-1211001110010.250.316.500.816
Sep 10@ ATLL 3-1111001100000.247.311.484.795

Context

Next game
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

RBIs · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

BookOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bally Bet+188–
BetMGM+210−300
betPARX+188−275Best
BetRivers+188–
DraftKings+207−295
ESPN BET+220−300
Hard Rock Bet+200−275Best
Novig+228Best−326
ProphetX+205−330
Shown, never used as our price
Fliff+180−315

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:15 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Victor Mesa Jr.

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, RBIs and Home Runs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Victor Mesa Jr.: projection accuracy by market
MarketGradedAverage missLanded within
Hits9––
Total Bases1––

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection
StatIQ’s number for Victor Mesa Jr.’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line
The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap
Projection minus the line (−0.01 for rbis). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss
The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual
Victor Mesa Jr.’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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