What does StatIQ project for Patrick Bailey?

StatIQ shows current MLB projections for Patrick Bailey in Hits, Home Runs, RBIs, and Total Bases, each with the player's recent form, season stats and the full game log so you can weigh the number yourself. Projections are model estimates, not guarantees.

Does StatIQ show a track record for Patrick Bailey?

Yes. Every graded MLB projection StatIQ logs is public (wins and losses alike) and the page shows how close StatIQ has landed for Patrick Bailey. No edge or profit is claimed.

Patrick Bailey Prop Projections

Cleveland Guardians · C · MLB

Next game Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

4 markets

RBIs Hits Home Runs Total Bases

RBIs

Oct 16

Projection only

0.33Projection · rbis

0.5Line · BetMGM

−0.17Gap

Compare prices

No pick logged for Patrick Bailey on this board · the numbers here are projections, not picks

A logged pick is recorded at a price before the game and kept in the record, win or lose. A card marked Projection only is a projection we did not take.

Market	Projection	Line	Gap
RBIs	0.33	0.50	−0.17
Hits	0.63	0.50	+0.13
Home Runs	0.12	0.50	−0.38
Total Bases	1.05	0.50	+0.55

Recent games

actual results · log current through Oct 15 · includes postseason · via ESPN

0.60Average rbis, last 10 (10 games)Under 0.50 in 7 of 10 · past results, not odds

Sep 26

Sep 27

Oct 3

Oct 5

Oct 7

Oct 8

Oct 10

Oct 12

Oct 13

Oct 15

Actual Projection Market lineBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against.

Current through Oct 15 · ● landed under · ○ did not

Full game log

Patrick Bailey game log
Date	Opponent	RBIs
Oct 15	vs TB · Postseason	0
Oct 13	@ TB · Postseason	0
Oct 12	@ TB · Postseason	1
Oct 10	vs CHW · Postseason	0
Oct 8	@ CHW · Postseason	2
Oct 7	@ CHW · Postseason	0
Oct 5	vs CHW · Postseason	0
Oct 3	vs CHW · Postseason	0
Sep 27	@ KC	0
Sep 26	@ KC	3

Every column, last 20 games · via ESPN

Patrick Bailey full game log, last 20 games
Date	Opp	Result	AB	R	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	HBP	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Oct 15	vs TB	W 3-2	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.348	.400	.609	1.009
Oct 13	@ TB	L 3-1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	.350	.409	.650	1.059
Oct 12	@ TB	W 7-3	4	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	2	.368	.400	.684	1.084
Oct 10	vs CHW	W 2-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.333	.375	.533	.908
Oct 8	@ CHW	W 9-5	3	2	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	.417	.462	.667	1.128
Oct 7	@ CHW	W 9-3	4	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	.333	.400	.333	.733
Oct 5	vs CHW	L 4-3	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.200	.200	.200	.400
Oct 3	vs CHW	L 3-0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.000	2.000
Sep 27	@ KC	L 3-2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	.206	.272	.335	.607
Sep 26	@ KC	W 11-5	5	2	2	0	2	3	0	0	2	.208	.274	.338	.611
Sep 25	@ KC	W 12-9	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.207	.274	.320	.594
Sep 24	@ BOS	W 1-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.205	.269	.317	.586
Sep 23	@ BOS	L 1-0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.207	.272	.320	.592
Sep 20	vs ATH	W 1-0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	.205	.271	.320	.591
Sep 18	vs ATH	W 5-3	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	.207	.274	.323	.597
Sep 15	vs CHW	W 7-6	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	.207	.274	.324	.598
Sep 14	vs CHW	L 7-3	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.209	.274	.328	.602
Sep 13	@ MIN	W 9-2	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.208	.275	.329	.603
Sep 9	@ BAL	L 9-5	3	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	.209	.276	.331	.607
Sep 8	@ BAL	W 9-5	4	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	.207	.273	.327	.600

Context

Next game: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians · Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET

Compare prices

RBIs · Patrick Bailey

RBIs · line 0.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet	+285	–
BetMGM	+275	−400Best
betPARX	+285	−455
BetRivers	+285	–
DraftKings	+313Best	−467
ESPN BET	+300	−450
Hard Rock Bet	+300	−425
Novig	+300	–
ProphetX	+310	−480
Shown, never used as our price
Fliff	+260	−510

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 16, 8:05 AM ET.

About these books

Exchange. A federally regulated prediction market, not a state-licensed sportsbook. The price is real, but player-prop depth is thin. Check the size you can actually get before you treat this as your number.

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Model accuracy

every projection logged for Patrick Bailey

Not enough graded projections yet for Hits, Total Bases, RBIs and Home Runs. An average miss prints once a market has 20. The Graded column counts what there is so far.

Patrick Bailey: projection accuracy by market
Market	Graded	Average miss	Landed within
Hits	5	–	–
Total Bases	1	–	–

Neither column is a range for the next game.

See every graded MLB pick in the record

How this is calculated

Projection: StatIQ’s number for Patrick Bailey’s next game in that stat: an estimate, not a pick.
Line: The market’s number at the book named beside it.
Gap: Projection minus the line (−0.17 for rbis). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average distance between the projection and the box score, over this player’s graded projections in that market. Every projection is logged before the game and never deleted; this is accuracy, not a betting record.
Actual: Patrick Bailey’s box-score result in each game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

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