StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Marvin Bagley III vs top-10 defenses

DEN · 2025-26 to 2026-27 · regular season

Marvin Bagley III has averaged 9.0 points and 6.8 rebounds per game in 13 games against top-10 defenses, vs 11.1 points and 6.1 rebounds in 39 games against everyone else (2025-26 to 2026-27, regular season).

Vs top-10 defenses
9.0
points per game · 13 games
Vs everyone else
11.1
points per game · 39 games
Difference
−2.1
per game, top 10 minus everyone else

Career and by season

Marvin Bagley III per game averages against top-10 defenses and everyone else, career and by season
PeriodOpponentsGamesPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKMINFG%FT%TS%eFG%PTS diff vs others
CareerTop 10139.06.81.30.50.20.719.660.0%65.2%64.9%63.7%−2.1
Everyone else3911.16.11.30.40.50.720.461.0%65.5%65.2%63.7%
2026-27Top 1021.04.00.50.00.00.510.833.3%–33.3%33.3%−5.5
Everyone else46.53.80.30.00.50.512.752.9%66.7%58.3%52.9%
2025-26Top 101110.57.31.50.50.20.721.261.0%65.2%66.0%64.9%−1.1
Everyone else3511.66.41.40.40.50.821.361.5%65.3%65.7%64.3%

Every game against top-10 defenses

  1. Oct 30, 2026at PHX · No. 9 defense (prior season's final)0 pts, 5 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 1 blk · 11 min
  2. Oct 22, 2026at OKC · No. 1 defense (prior season's final)2 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 11 min
  3. Apr 10, 2026at SAS · No. 3 defense (that season, games so far)2 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 8 min
  4. Apr 8, 2026at PHX · No. 10 defense (that season, games so far)20 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast · 3 3PM · 0 stl, 1 blk · 26 min
  5. Mar 8, 2026at TOR · No. 8 defense (that season, games so far)6 pts, 7 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 20 min
  6. Feb 20, 2026at MIN · No. 8 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 13 reb, 0 ast · 1 3PM · 0 stl, 1 blk · 24 min
  7. Feb 10, 2026at PHX · No. 9 defense (that season, games so far)9 pts, 8 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 24 min
  8. Feb 7, 2026at SAS · No. 3 defense (that season, games so far)16 pts, 12 reb, 2 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 4 blk · 24 min
  9. Jan 11, 2026at PHX · No. 8 defense (that season, games so far)6 pts, 3 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 1 blk · 16 min
  10. Jan 4, 2026vs MIN · No. 5 defense (that season, games so far)6 pts, 3 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 14 min
  11. Dec 28, 2025vs MEM · No. 10 defense (that season, games so far)14 pts, 7 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 22 min
  12. Dec 26, 2025vs TOR · No. 4 defense (that season, games so far)6 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 1 blk · 22 min
  13. Dec 12, 2025vs CLE · No. 9 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 13 reb, 4 ast · 1 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 33 min

What counts: a team's defensive rating is 100 × the points its opponents scored ÷ possessions, with possessions = FGA + 0.44*FTA - OREB + TOV, mean of both teams. A game's rank uses only games played before that date. Until every team has 15 games, the prior season's final ranks are used (6 games here, 46 games ranked on that season's games so far). Games are regular season; games he did not play are not counted. 14 games where the opponent's rank could not be determined are left out of both columns. TS% = PTS ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.44 × FTA)); eFG% = (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM) ÷ FGA; both from totals for each row. Past results, not a projection.