StatIQPlayer projections, with the receipts

Marvin Bagley III vs bottom-10 defenses

DEN · 2025-26 to 2026-27 · regular season

Marvin Bagley III has averaged 11.7 points and 6.4 rebounds per game in 15 games against bottom-10 defenses, vs 10.1 points and 6.2 rebounds in 37 games against everyone else (2025-26 to 2026-27, regular season).

Vs bottom-10 defenses
11.7
points per game · 15 games
Vs everyone else
10.1
points per game · 37 games
Difference
+1.6
per game, bottom 10 minus everyone else

Career and by season

Marvin Bagley III per game averages against bottom-10 defenses and everyone else, career and by season
PeriodOpponentsGamesPTSREBAST3PMSTLBLKMINFG%FT%TS%eFG%PTS diff vs others
CareerBottom 101511.76.41.10.10.50.520.663.5%62.8%65.3%64.3%+1.6
Everyone else3710.16.21.40.50.40.820.059.5%66.7%65.1%63.4%
2026-27Bottom 1026.54.50.50.00.50.514.062.5%75.0%66.6%62.5%+2.7
Everyone else43.83.50.30.00.30.511.141.7%62.5%48.3%41.7%
2025-26Bottom 101312.56.71.20.20.50.521.663.6%61.5%65.2%64.5%+1.7
Everyone else3310.86.61.50.60.40.821.160.4%67.1%66.0%64.5%

Every game against bottom-10 defenses

  1. Oct 28, 2026at NOP · No. 24 defense (prior season's final)8 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 1 blk · 19 min
  2. Oct 24, 2026vs NOP · No. 24 defense (prior season's final)5 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 9 min
  3. Mar 25, 2026at DEN · No. 22 defense (that season, games so far)7 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 17 min
  4. Mar 16, 2026at NOP · No. 25 defense (that season, games so far)9 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 0 blk · 19 min
  5. Feb 26, 2026vs SAC · No. 29 defense (that season, games so far)10 pts, 9 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 2 blk · 28 min
  6. Feb 24, 2026at BKN · No. 26 defense (that season, games so far)22 pts, 5 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 19 min
  7. Feb 22, 2026at IND · No. 21 defense (that season, games so far)12 pts, 11 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 0 blk · 26 min
  8. Feb 12, 2026at LAL · No. 23 defense (that season, games so far)7 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 0 blk · 20 min
  9. Feb 1, 2026vs SAC · No. 28 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast · 1 3PM · 1 stl, 1 blk · 19 min
  10. Jan 19, 2026vs LAC · No. 21 defense (that season, games so far)6 pts, 8 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 2 blk · 17 min
  11. Jan 17, 2026at DEN · No. 24 defense (that season, games so far)14 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 1 blk · 20 min
  12. Jan 16, 2026at SAC · No. 27 defense (that season, games so far)8 pts, 4 reb, 0 ast · 0 3PM · 1 stl, 0 blk · 19 min
  13. Jan 14, 2026at LAC · No. 23 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 11 reb, 2 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 27 min
  14. Dec 23, 2025at CHA · No. 24 defense (that season, games so far)15 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 1 blk · 21 min
  15. Dec 1, 2025vs MIL · No. 22 defense (that season, games so far)22 pts, 8 reb, 1 ast · 0 3PM · 0 stl, 0 blk · 29 min

What counts: a team's defensive rating is 100 × the points its opponents scored ÷ possessions, with possessions = FGA + 0.44*FTA - OREB + TOV, mean of both teams. A game's rank uses only games played before that date. Until every team has 15 games, the prior season's final ranks are used (6 games here, 46 games ranked on that season's games so far). Games are regular season; games he did not play are not counted. 14 games where the opponent's rank could not be determined are left out of both columns. TS% = PTS ÷ (2 × (FGA + 0.44 × FTA)); eFG% = (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM) ÷ FGA; both from totals for each row. Past results, not a projection.