MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

ATL atMIL · 7:00 PM ET

Matt OlsonATL · at MIL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.84

0.5

+0.34

− LossOver 0.5 · -140−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.3%

David HamiltonMIL · vs ATL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.75

0.5

+0.25

− LossOver 0.5 · +108−1.00uat Bally Bet

Actual results

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: 48.1%

Lane ThomasATL · at MIL · Aug 23 · Final

0.49

0.5

−0.01

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Sean MurphyATL · at MIL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · -115−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Ozzie AlbiesATL · at MIL · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.20

1.5

−0.30

− LossUnder 1.5 · -155−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 60.8%

Michael Harris IIATL · at MIL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

1.13

0.5

+0.63

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.13Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 67.2%

Jackson ChourioMIL · vs ATL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

1.09

0.5

+0.59

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 1.09Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 66.7%

Drake BaldwinATL · at MIL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

1.02

0.5

+0.52

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.02Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.0%

CIN atARI · 4:15 PM ET

Tim TawaARI · vs CIN · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.92

0.5

+0.42

+ WinOver 0.5 · -160+0.63uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 61.5%

Matt McLainCIN · at ARI · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.70

0.5

+0.20

− LossOver 0.5 · -130−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 56.5%

Dane MyersCIN · at ARI · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.59

0.5

+0.09

− LossUnder 0.5 · +190−1.00uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 36.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +190 price needs about 34% to break even.

Actual results

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: 34.5%

Hector RodriguezCIN · at ARI · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.77

0.5

+0.27

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.2% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Ke'Bryan HayesCIN · at ARI · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.65

0.5

+0.15

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1300.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 44.9% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +130 price needs about 43% to break even.

Actual results

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: 43.5%

PIT atLAD · 4:10 PM ET

Brandon LowePIT · at LAD · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.96

0.5

+0.46

+ WinOver 0.5 · +110+1.10uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Max MuncyPIT at LAD · Aug 23 · Final

0.59

0.5

+0.09

− LossUnder 0.5 · +163−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 40.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +163 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.0%

Shohei OhtaniLAD · vs PIT · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

2.05

1.5

+0.55

+ WinUnder 1.5 · +110+1.10uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.5% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Mookie BettsLAD · vs PIT · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.67

1.5

+0.17

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -125+0.80uat Dabble

Why Under? Our model estimates a 57.5% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -125 price needs about 56% to break even.

Actual results

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: 55.6%

Jared TrioloPIT · at LAD · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.78

0.5

+0.28

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -103+0.97uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.4% chance of zero total bases. The recorded -103 price needs about 51% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.7%

Freddie FreemanLAD · vs PIT · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.97

1.5

−0.53

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.97Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 66.6%

Billy CookPIT · at LAD · Aug 23 · Final

0.17

0.5

−0.33

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.17Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 62.3%

Nick YorkePIT · at LAD · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.79

0.5

+0.29

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 0.79Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 50.0%

CHC atSEA · 4:10 PM ET

Alex BregmanCHC · at SEA · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

1.25

0.5

+0.75

− LossOver 0.5 · -162−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 61.8%

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC · at SEA · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.98

0.5

+0.48

+ WinOver 0.5 · -174+0.57uat Novig

Actual results

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: 63.5%

Carson KellyCHC · at SEA · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.89

0.5

+0.39

+ WinOver 0.5 · -117+0.85uat Novig

Actual results

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: 53.9%

Cal RaleighSEA · vs CHC · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

− LossUnder 0.5 · +117−1.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 46.1%

Weston WilsonSEA · vs CHC · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.74

0.5

+0.24

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.3% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +100 price needs about 50% to break even.

Actual results

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: 50.0%

SF atBOS · 3:15 PM ET

Wilyer AbreuBOS · vs SF · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.87

1.5

+0.37

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -123+0.81uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 57.4% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded -123 price needs about 55% to break even.

Actual results

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: 55.2%

Adley RutschmanBOS · vs SF · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.13

1.5

−0.37

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -134+0.75uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 57.3%

Andruw MonasterioBOS · vs SF · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.93

1.5

−0.57

− LossUnder 1.5 · -182−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 64.5%

Eli WhiteSF at BOS · Aug 23 · Final

0.66

0.5

+0.16

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.2% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +120 price needs about 45% to break even.

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Jonah CoxSF · at BOS · Aug 23 · Final

0.48

0.5

−0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +130−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Nick SogardBOS · vs SF · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

1.11

0.5

+0.61

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 1.11Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.5%

Jahmai JonesBOS · vs SF · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.57

0.5

+0.07

Actual: 2 hits · Projection: 0.57Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Caleb DurbinBOS · vs SF · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.34

1.5

−0.16

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.34Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Osleivis BasabeSF · at BOS · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.05

1.5

−0.45

Actual: 0 total bases · Projection: 1.05Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 62.3%

CLE atCOL · 3:10 PM ET

Steven KwanCLE · at COL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

1.00

1.5

−0.50

− LossUnder 1.5 · -155−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 60.8%

Jordan BeckCOL · vs CLE · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.61

0.5

+0.11

− LossUnder 0.5 · +170−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 38.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +170 price needs about 37% to break even.

Actual results

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: 37.0%

Kyle KarrosCOL · vs CLE · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.19

1.5

−0.31

VoidUnder 1.5 · -1150.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Jose RamirezCLE · at COL · Aug 23 · Final

1.11

1.5

−0.39

VoidUnder 1.5 · +1230.00uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 44.8%

Braxton FulfordCOL · vs CLE · Aug 23 · Final

0.34

1.5

−1.16

VoidUnder 1.5 · -1650.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 62.3%

Mickey MoniakCOL · vs CLE · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.76

0.5

+0.26

Actual: 0 hits · Projection: 0.76Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Patrick BaileyCLE · at COL · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.58

0.5

+0.08

Did not play · Projection: 0.58Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 35.0%

LAA atTEX · 2:35 PM ET

Justin FoscueTEX · vs LAA · Aug 23 · Final

0.55

0.5

+0.05

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +160+1.60uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 39.7% chance of zero hits. The recorded +160 price needs about 38% to break even.

Actual results

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: 38.5%

Jose SiriLAA · at TEX · Aug 23 · Final

0.43

0.5

−0.07

− LossUnder 0.5 · +120−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Tyler HeinemanLAA · at TEX · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.42

0.5

−0.08

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat Fanatics Sportsbook

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Jake BurgerTEX · vs LAA · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

1.36

1.5

−0.14

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -165+0.61uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 62.3%

Elias DiazTEX · vs LAA · Aug 23 · Final

Total Bases

0.70

0.5

+0.20

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Why Under? Our model estimates a 52.3% chance of zero total bases. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Cody FreemanTEX · vs LAA · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.64

0.5

+0.14

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.64Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 45.5%

DET atKC · 2:10 PM ET

Carter JensenKC · vs DET · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.59

0.5

+0.09

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +150+1.50uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Nick LoftinKC · vs DET · Aug 23 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +185−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 38.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +185 price needs about 35% to break even.

Actual results

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: 35.1%

Sunday · Aug 23

Today

ATL atMIL · 7:00 PM ET

CIN atARI · 4:15 PM ET

PIT atLAD · 4:10 PM ET

CHC atSEA · 4:10 PM ET

SF atBOS · 3:15 PM ET

CLE atCOL · 3:10 PM ET

LAA atTEX · 2:35 PM ET

DET atKC · 2:10 PM ET

Sunday · Aug 23

ATL atMIL · 7:00 PM ET

CIN atARI · 4:15 PM ET

PIT atLAD · 4:10 PM ET

CHC atSEA · 4:10 PM ET

SF atBOS · 3:15 PM ET

CLE atCOL · 3:10 PM ET

LAA atTEX · 2:35 PM ET

DET atKC · 2:10 PM ET