MLB Player Prop Projections Today, Oct 22

TB atSEA · 9:50 PM ET

Colt EmersonTB at SEA · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.70

0.5

+0.20

− LossOver 0.5 · +120−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 45.5%

LAD atARI · 8:10 PM ET

James McCannARI · vs LAD · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

1.23

0.5

+0.73

+ WinOver 0.5 · -113+0.88uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 53.1%

COL atSTL · 7:15 PM ET

Jordan BeckCOL · at STL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.62

0.5

+0.12

− LossUnder 0.5 · +152−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.2% chance of zero hits. The recorded +152 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 39.7%

Nelson VelazquezCOL at STL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.35

0.5

−0.15

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1500.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Pedro PagesSTL · vs COL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.28

0.5

−0.22

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1200.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 45.5%

BAL atTEX · 7:15 PM ET

Joc PedersonTEX · vs BAL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.85

0.5

+0.35

− LossOver 0.5 · -141−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 58.5%

Elias DiazTEX · vs BAL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.56

0.5

+0.06

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1100.00uat Hard Rock Bet

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.3% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Leody TaverasBAL · at TEX · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 49.8% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Colton CowserBAL · at TEX · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.35

0.5

−0.15

− LossUnder 0.5 · -115−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 53.5%

DET atSF · 7:15 PM ET

Grant McCraySF · vs DET · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.18

0.5

−0.32

+ WinUnder 0.5 · -105+0.95uat Hard Rock Bet

Actual results

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: 51.2%

CLE atCWS · 7:15 PM ET

Braden MontgomeryCWS · vs CLE · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.82

0.5

+0.32

+ WinOver 0.5 · -120+0.83uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 54.5%

Brayan RocchioCLE · at CWS · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.67

0.5

+0.17

− LossUnder 0.5 · +174−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 38.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +174 price needs about 36% to break even.

Actual results

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: 36.5%

HOU atSD · 7:15 PM ET

Luis CampusanoSD · vs HOU · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.86

0.5

+0.36

− LossOver 0.5 · -115−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 53.5%

Gavin SheetsSD · vs HOU · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.45

0.5

−0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +110−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 47.6%

CHC atKC · 7:10 PM ET

John RaveKC · vs CHC · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.56

0.5

+0.06

− LossUnder 0.5 · +125−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Why Under? Our model estimates a 48.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Michael ConfortoCHC · at KC · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.41

0.5

−0.09

− LossUnder 0.5 · +140−1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 41.7%

MIN atMIL · 7:10 PM ET

Brice TurangMIL · vs MIN · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

1.18

0.5

+0.68

+ WinOver 0.5 · -155+0.65uat BetRivers

Actual results

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: 60.8%

Garrett MitchellMIL · vs MIN · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +144+1.44uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 43.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +144 price needs about 41% to break even.

Actual results

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: 41.0%

Victor CaratiniMIN · at MIL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

VoidUnder 0.5 · +1300.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +130 price needs about 43% to break even.

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Austin MartinMIN · at MIL · Aug 8 · Final

0.44

0.5

−0.06

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +155+1.55uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 39.2%

CIN atWSH · 6:45 PM ET

Jose TrevinoCIN · at WSH · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.95

0.5

+0.45

− LossOver 0.5 · -130−1.00uat Novig

Actual results

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: 56.5%

Matt McLainCIN · at WSH · Aug 8 · Final

0.53

0.5

+0.03

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +145+1.45uat BetMGM

Why Under? Our model estimates a 42.9% chance of zero hits. The recorded +145 price needs about 41% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.8%

Nasim NunezWSH · vs CIN · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10u

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.1% chance of zero hits. The recorded +110 price needs about 48% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Jose TenaWSH · vs CIN · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.50

0.5

0.00

− LossUnder 0.5 · +100−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 50.0%

Ke'Bryan HayesCIN · at WSH · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.35

0.5

−0.15

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +125+1.25uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 44.4%

NYM atPIT · 6:40 PM ET

Esmerlyn ValdezPIT · vs NYM · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.52

0.5

+0.02

− LossUnder 0.5 · +128−1.00uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 45.6% chance of zero hits. The recorded +128 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 43.9%

Jorge PolancoNYM at PIT · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.37

0.5

−0.13

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +120+1.20uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 45.5%

Luis Robert Jr.NYM at PIT · Aug 8 · Final

1.00

1.5

−0.50

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -162+0.62uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 61.8%

TOR atPHI · 6:05 PM ET

Jesus SanchezTOR at PHI · Aug 8 · Final

0.55

0.5

+0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +150−1.00uat DraftKings

Why Under? Our model estimates a 41.7% chance of zero hits. The recorded +150 price needs about 40% to break even.

Actual results

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: 40.0%

Myles StrawTOR · at PHI · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.49

0.5

−0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +140+1.40uat DraftKings

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Kyle SchwarberPHI · vs TOR · Aug 8 · Final

Total Bases

1.25

1.5

−0.25

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -106+0.94uat betPARX

Actual results

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: 51.5%

Justin CrawfordPHI · vs TOR · Aug 8 · Final

Total Bases

0.97

1.5

−0.53

− LossUnder 1.5 · -165−1.00uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 62.3%

Garrett StubbsPHI · vs TOR · Aug 8 · Final

0.14

0.5

−0.36

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +100+1.00uat ESPN BET

Actual results

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: 50.0%

ATH atBOS · 4:10 PM ET

Alika WilliamsATH · at BOS · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.51

0.5

+0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +105+1.05uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Why Under? Our model estimates a 51.0% chance of zero hits. The recorded +105 price needs about 49% to break even.

Actual results

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: 48.8%

Connor WongBOS · vs ATH · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.50

0.5

0.00

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +140+1.40uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 41.7%

Jahmai JonesBOS · vs ATH · Aug 8 · Final

0.35

0.5

−0.15

− LossUnder 0.5 · +130−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Willson ContrerasBOS · vs ATH · Aug 8 · Final

Total Bases

1.62

1.5

+0.12

+ WinUnder 1.5 · +112+1.12uat betPARX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 50.6% chance of 1 or fewer total bases. The recorded +112 price needs about 47% to break even.

Actual results

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: 47.2%

Henry BolteATH · at BOS · Aug 8 · Final

Total Bases

1.03

1.5

−0.47

− LossUnder 1.5 · -150−1.00uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 60.0%

Andruw MonasterioBOS · vs ATH · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

1.11

0.5

+0.61

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 1.11Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 62.5%

Tommy WhiteATH · at BOS · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.94

0.5

+0.44

Actual: 1 hits · Projection: 0.94Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 60.8%

Nick SogardBOS · vs ATH · Aug 8 · Final

Total Bases

0.98

1.5

−0.52

Actual: 5 total bases · Projection: 0.98Research onlyExcluded from pick record

Actual results

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: 63.6%

LAA atMIA · 4:10 PM ET

Kyle StowersMIA · vs LAA · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

1.00

0.5

+0.50

− LossOver 0.5 · -164−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 62.1%

Denzer GuzmanLAA · at MIA · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.55

0.5

+0.05

− LossUnder 0.5 · +125−1.00uat Novig

Why Under? Our model estimates a 46.4% chance of zero hits. The recorded +125 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 44.4%

Josh LoweLAA · at MIA · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.46

0.5

−0.04

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +110+1.10uat BetMGM

Actual results

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: 47.6%

Vaughn GrissomLAA · at MIA · Aug 8 · Final

Total Bases

1.42

1.5

−0.08

+ WinUnder 1.5 · -162+0.62uat Novig

Actual results

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: 61.8%

ATL atNYY · 3:05 PM ET

Heliot RamosNYY · vs ATL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.89

0.5

+0.39

− LossOver 0.5 · -138−1.00uat ProphetX

Actual results

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: 58.0%

Trent GrishamNYY · vs ATL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.53

0.5

+0.03

− LossUnder 0.5 · +128−1.00uat ProphetX

Why Under? Our model estimates a 45.5% chance of zero hits. The recorded +128 price needs about 44% to break even.

Actual results

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: 43.9%

Amed RosarioNYY · vs ATL · Aug 8 · Final

Hits

0.49

0.5

−0.01

+ WinUnder 0.5 · +130+1.30uat Hard Rock Bet (OH)

Actual results

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: 43.5%

Saturday · Aug 8

Today

TB atSEA · 9:50 PM ET

LAD atARI · 8:10 PM ET

COL atSTL · 7:15 PM ET

BAL atTEX · 7:15 PM ET

DET atSF · 7:15 PM ET

CLE atCWS · 7:15 PM ET

HOU atSD · 7:15 PM ET

CHC atKC · 7:10 PM ET

MIN atMIL · 7:10 PM ET

CIN atWSH · 6:45 PM ET

NYM atPIT · 6:40 PM ET

TOR atPHI · 6:05 PM ET

ATH atBOS · 4:10 PM ET

LAA atMIA · 4:10 PM ET

ATL atNYY · 3:05 PM ET

Saturday · Aug 8

TB atSEA · 9:50 PM ET

LAD atARI · 8:10 PM ET

COL atSTL · 7:15 PM ET

BAL atTEX · 7:15 PM ET

DET atSF · 7:15 PM ET

CLE atCWS · 7:15 PM ET

HOU atSD · 7:15 PM ET

CHC atKC · 7:10 PM ET

MIN atMIL · 7:10 PM ET

CIN atWSH · 6:45 PM ET

NYM atPIT · 6:40 PM ET

TOR atPHI · 6:05 PM ET

ATH atBOS · 4:10 PM ET

LAA atMIA · 4:10 PM ET

ATL atNYY · 3:05 PM ET