StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Zay Flowers Projections

BAL · WR · #4
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TEN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
5.1receptions projected vs TEN
Season average 5 · Last five 5
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
013465IND5DALStatIQ projection 5.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs DAL5
Sep 13, 2026@ @ IND5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Zay Flowers
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Zay Flowers trending lately?5 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Zay Flowers, 5.1 receptions

StatIQ projects Zay Flowers for 5.1 receptions against TEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Zay Flowers has averaged 5 over his last 5 games and 5 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Zay Flowers’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
5 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Zay Flowers vs TEN?

StatIQ projects Zay Flowers for 5.1 receptions against TEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Zay Flowers performed in receptions recently?

Zay Flowers has averaged 5 over his last 5 games and 5 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of BAL vs TEN
the whole game
See the full NFL slate