StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Lamar Jackson Projections

BAL · QB · #8
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TEN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
210.1passing yards projected vs TEN
Season average 248.3 · Last five 216.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
091181272363324IND235NO186DALStatIQ projection 210.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs DAL186
Sep 20, 2026vs vs NO235
Sep 13, 2026@ @ IND324
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Lamar Jackson
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Lamar Jackson trending lately?216.8 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Lamar Jackson, 210.1 passing yards

StatIQ projects Lamar Jackson for 210.1 passing yards against TEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Lamar Jackson has averaged 216.8 yards over his last 5 games and 248.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Lamar Jackson’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
216.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Lamar Jackson vs TEN?

StatIQ projects Lamar Jackson for 210.1 yards passing yards against TEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Lamar Jackson performed in passing yards recently?

Lamar Jackson has averaged 216.8 yards over his last 5 games and 248.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of BAL vs TEN
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