StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Zay Flowers Projections

BAL · WR · #4
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TEN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
74receiving yards projected vs TEN
Season average 117 · Last five 97.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
04284126168150IND84DALStatIQ projection 74
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs DAL84
Sep 13, 2026@ @ IND150
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Zay Flowers
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Zay Flowers trending lately?97.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Zay Flowers, 74 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Zay Flowers for 74 receiving yards against TEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Zay Flowers has averaged 97.2 yards over his last 5 games and 117 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Zay Flowers’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
97.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Zay Flowers vs TEN?

StatIQ projects Zay Flowers for 74 yards receiving yards against TEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Zay Flowers performed in receiving yards recently?

Zay Flowers has averaged 97.2 yards over his last 5 games and 117 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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