StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Tyler Higbee Projections

LA · TE · #89
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 10, 2:13 AM
vs BUF
Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
3.4receptions projected vs BUF
Season average 5 · Last five 4.2
Updated Oct 9
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
024792SF0NYG8DEN5PHIStatIQ projection 3.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Oct 4, 2026@ @ PHI5
Sep 28, 2026@ @ DEN8
Sep 22, 2026vs vs NYG0
Sep 11, 2026vs vs SF2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Tyler Higbee
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Tyler Higbee trending lately?4.2 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Tyler Higbee, 3.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Tyler Higbee for 3.4 receptions against BUF in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Tyler Higbee has averaged 4.2 over his last 5 games and 5 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 537 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Tyler Higbee’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
537 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
BUF
Kickoff
Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 10, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Tyler Higbee vs BUF?

StatIQ projects Tyler Higbee for 3.4 receptions against BUF in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Tyler Higbee performed in receptions recently?

Tyler Higbee has averaged 4.2 over his last 5 games and 5 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 537 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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