StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Matthew Stafford Projections

LA · QB · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
vs PHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
240.4passing yards projected vs PHI
Season average 290.7 · Last five 280
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
0109218328437155SF327NYG390DENStatIQ projection 240.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 28, 2026@ @ DEN390
Sep 22, 2026vs vs NYG327
Sep 11, 2026vs vs SF155
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Matthew Stafford
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Matthew Stafford done against PHI?196 yards per game1 game vs PHIExplore this question

Projection context: Matthew Stafford, 240.4 passing yards

StatIQ projects Matthew Stafford for 240.4 passing yards against PHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Matthew Stafford has averaged 280 yards over his last 5 games, 290.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 196 yards across 1 game against PHI. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Matthew Stafford’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
PHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 1:13 AM
Recent form
280 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Matthew Stafford vs PHI?

StatIQ projects Matthew Stafford for 240.4 yards passing yards against PHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Matthew Stafford performed in passing yards recently?

Matthew Stafford has averaged 280 yards over his last 5 games, 290.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 196 yards across 1 game against PHI. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of LA vs PHI
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