StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Tetairoa McMillan Projections

CAR · WR · #4
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DET
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
4.4receptions projected vs DET
Season average 4 · Last five 3.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
013465CHI5ATL2CLEStatIQ projection 4.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ CLE2
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ATL5
Sep 13, 2026vs vs CHI5
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Tetairoa McMillan
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Tetairoa McMillan trending lately?3.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Tetairoa McMillan, 4.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Tetairoa McMillan for 4.4 receptions against DET in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games and 4 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Tetairoa McMillan’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DET
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
3.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Tetairoa McMillan vs DET?

StatIQ projects Tetairoa McMillan for 4.4 receptions against DET in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Tetairoa McMillan performed in receptions recently?

Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 3.4 over his last 5 games and 4 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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