StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Michael Mayer Projections

LV · TE · #87
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs KC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.9receptions projected vs KC
Season average 4 · Last five 4.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
023576MIA3LAC3NOStatIQ projection 3.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ NO3
Sep 20, 2026@ @ LAC3
Sep 13, 2026vs vs MIA6
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Michael Mayer
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Michael Mayer done against KC?2 per game2 games vs KCExplore this question

Projection context: Michael Mayer, 3.9 receptions

StatIQ projects Michael Mayer for 3.9 receptions against KC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Michael Mayer has averaged 4.8 over his last 5 games, 4 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 2 games against KC. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Michael Mayer’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
KC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.8 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Michael Mayer vs KC?

StatIQ projects Michael Mayer for 3.9 receptions against KC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Michael Mayer performed in receptions recently?

Michael Mayer has averaged 4.8 over his last 5 games, 4 per game this season (2026), and 2 across 2 games against KC. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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