StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Michael Mayer Projections

LV · TE · #87
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs KC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
34.3receiving yards projected vs KC
Season average 29 · Last five 44.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01019293832MIA23LAC32NOStatIQ projection 34.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ NO32
Sep 20, 2026@ @ LAC23
Sep 13, 2026vs vs MIA32
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Michael Mayer
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Michael Mayer done against KC?28.5 yards per game2 games vs KCExplore this question

Projection context: Michael Mayer, 34.3 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Michael Mayer for 34.3 receiving yards against KC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Michael Mayer has averaged 44.6 yards over his last 5 games, 29 yards per game this season (2026), and 28.5 yards across 2 games against KC. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Michael Mayer’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
KC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
44.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Michael Mayer vs KC?

StatIQ projects Michael Mayer for 34.3 yards receiving yards against KC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Michael Mayer performed in receiving yards recently?

Michael Mayer has averaged 44.6 yards over his last 5 games, 29 yards per game this season (2026), and 28.5 yards across 2 games against KC. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of KC vs LV
the whole game
See the full NFL slate