Patrick Mahomes Projections
| Date | Opponent | PASS YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ @ MIA | 246 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | vs vs IND | 382 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | vs vs DEN | 184 |
Projection context: Patrick Mahomes, 255.9 passing yards
StatIQ projects Patrick Mahomes for 255.9 passing yards against LV in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Patrick Mahomes has averaged 232.2 yards over his last 5 games, 270.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 286 yards across 1 game against LV. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
- Opponent
- LV
- Kickoff
- Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
- Status
- No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
- Recent form
- 232.2 yards over the last 5
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Patrick Mahomes vs LV?
StatIQ projects Patrick Mahomes for 255.9 yards passing yards against LV in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
How has Patrick Mahomes performed in passing yards recently?
Patrick Mahomes has averaged 232.2 yards over his last 5 games, 270.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 286 yards across 1 game against LV. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?
Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.