StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Marvin Mims Jr. Projections

DEN · WR · #19
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 9:13 PM
vs LAC
Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET · Week 5
Compare
REC YDSREC
18.3receiving yards projected vs LAC
Season average 5 · Last five 11.2
Updated Oct 8
Typically within 23 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0510152110SFStatIQ projection 18.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Oct 4, 2026@ @ SF10
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Marvin Mims Jr.
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Marvin Mims Jr. done against LAC?7 yards per game2 games vs LACExplore this question

Projection context: Marvin Mims Jr., 18.3 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Marvin Mims Jr. for 18.3 receiving yards against LAC in Week 5. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Marvin Mims Jr. has averaged 11.2 yards over his last 5 games, 5 yards per game this season (2026), and 7 yards across 2 games against LAC. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 526 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Marvin Mims Jr.’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
23yards
average projection miss
25 within
526 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LAC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 8, 9:13 PM
Recent form
11.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Marvin Mims Jr. vs LAC?

StatIQ projects Marvin Mims Jr. for 18.3 yards receiving yards against LAC in Week 5. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Marvin Mims Jr. performed in receiving yards recently?

Marvin Mims Jr. has averaged 11.2 yards over his last 5 games, 5 yards per game this season (2026), and 7 yards across 2 games against LAC. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 526 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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