StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Keaton Mitchell Projections

LAC · RB · #34
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs SEA
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
RUSH YDS
29.8rushing yards projected vs SEA
Season average 28.3 · Last five 23.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
0152944589ARI24LV52BUFStatIQ projection 29.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ BUF52
Sep 20, 2026vs vs LV24
Sep 13, 2026vs vs ARI9
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Keaton Mitchell
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Keaton Mitchell trending lately?23.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Keaton Mitchell, 29.8 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Keaton Mitchell for 29.8 rushing yards against SEA in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Keaton Mitchell has averaged 23.6 yards over his last 5 games and 28.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Keaton Mitchell’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SEA
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
23.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Keaton Mitchell vs SEA?

StatIQ projects Keaton Mitchell for 29.8 yards rushing yards against SEA in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Keaton Mitchell performed in rushing yards recently?

Keaton Mitchell has averaged 23.6 yards over his last 5 games and 28.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of LAC vs SEA
the whole game
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