StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Bo Nix Projections

DEN · QB · #10
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs SF
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
211passing yards projected vs SF
Season average 201.7 · Last five 185.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
081161242323131KC288JAX186LARStatIQ projection 211
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 28, 2026vs vs LAR186
Sep 20, 2026vs vs JAX288
Sep 15, 2026@ @ KC131
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Bo Nix
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Bo Nix trending lately?185.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Bo Nix, 211 passing yards

StatIQ projects Bo Nix for 211 passing yards against SF in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Bo Nix has averaged 185.6 yards over his last 5 games and 201.7 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Bo Nix’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SF
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
185.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Bo Nix vs SF?

StatIQ projects Bo Nix for 211 yards passing yards against SF in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Bo Nix performed in passing yards recently?

Bo Nix has averaged 185.6 yards over his last 5 games and 201.7 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DEN vs SF
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