StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Malik Willis Projections

MIA · QB · #2
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs MIN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
26.3rushing yards projected vs MIN
Season average 33.7 · Last five 41
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
01631476339LV6SF56KCStatIQ projection 26.3
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs KC56
Sep 20, 2026@ @ SF6
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LV39
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Malik Willis
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Malik Willis done against MIN?3 yards per game1 game vs MINExplore this question

Projection context: Malik Willis, 26.3 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Malik Willis for 26.3 rushing yards against MIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Malik Willis has averaged 41 yards over his last 5 games, 33.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 3 yards across 1 game against MIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Malik Willis’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
MIN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
41 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Malik Willis vs MIN?

StatIQ projects Malik Willis for 26.3 yards rushing yards against MIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Malik Willis performed in rushing yards recently?

Malik Willis has averaged 41 yards over his last 5 games, 33.7 yards per game this season (2026), and 3 yards across 1 game against MIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of MIA vs MIN
the whole game
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