StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Malik Willis Projections

MIA · QB · #2
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs MIN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
0.7passing touchdowns projected vs MIN
Season average 0.3 · Last five 0.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1 of the result
Recent passing touchdowns
001110LV1SF0KCStatIQ projection 0.7
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS TD
Sep 27, 2026vs vs KC0
Sep 20, 2026@ @ SF1
Sep 13, 2026@ @ LV0
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Malik Willis
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Malik Willis done against MIN?0 per game1 game vs MINExplore this question

Projection context: Malik Willis, 0.7 passing touchdowns

StatIQ projects Malik Willis for 0.7 passing touchdowns against MIN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Malik Willis has averaged 0.6 over his last 5 games, 0.3 per game this season (2026), and 0 across 1 game against MIN. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Malik Willis’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Touchdowns track record
1
average projection miss
91 completed passing touchdowns projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
MIN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
0.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing touchdowns projection for Malik Willis vs MIN?

StatIQ projects Malik Willis for 0.7 passing touchdowns against MIN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Malik Willis performed in passing touchdowns recently?

Malik Willis has averaged 0.6 over his last 5 games, 0.3 per game this season (2026), and 0 across 1 game against MIN. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing touchdowns projections?

Across 91 completed passing touchdowns projections, StatIQ has landed within 1 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of MIA vs MIN
the whole game
See the full NFL slate