StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Kaelon Black Projections

SF · RB · #26
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DEN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
RUSH YDS
35.5rushing yards projected vs DEN
Season average 35.7 · Last five 35.7
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
01836557365LAR25MIA17ARIStatIQ projection 35.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI17
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA25
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR65
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Kaelon Black
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Kaelon Black trending lately?35.7 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Kaelon Black, 35.5 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Kaelon Black for 35.5 rushing yards against DEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Kaelon Black has averaged 35.7 yards over his last 5 games and 35.7 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Kaelon Black’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
35.7 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Kaelon Black vs DEN?

StatIQ projects Kaelon Black for 35.5 yards rushing yards against DEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Kaelon Black performed in rushing yards recently?

Kaelon Black has averaged 35.7 yards over his last 5 games and 35.7 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DEN vs SF
the whole game
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