Jaydon Blue Projections

PHI · RB · #30

Next game vs CAR · Week 6 · Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET

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Projections & lines

Rushing Yards · Week 6

vs CAR · Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET

Projection only

47.6Projection · rushing yards

21.5Line · consensus

+26.1Gap

Average · last 5 games 25.8

Average miss 23.8 yards · NFL rushing-yard model · 51 graded projections · Updated Oct 18

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Measured, not bet

NFL projections are graded against the result, never bet: no NFL play is logged at a price.

Recent rushing yards

actual results · regular season · via ESPN

25.8Average rushing yards, last 5 (5 games)Over 21.5 in 3 of 5 · past results, not odds

Oct 5

Oct 12

Oct 19

Oct 26

Jan 4

Actual Projection Market line Typical miss (past) · ±23.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this gameBars: actual games. Dashed: our projection for the next game. Dotted: the market line, which the hit count is measured against. Shaded: typical miss (past), ±23.8 yards around the projection. How far past projections landed on average, not a range for this game.

Current through Jan 4 · ● landed over · ○ did not

Full game log

Jaydon Blue rushing yards by game
Date	Opponent	RUSH YDS
Jan 4	@ NYG · 2025	64
Oct 26	@ DEN · 2025	29
Oct 19	vs WSH · 2025	29
Oct 12	@ CAR · 2025	0
Oct 5	@ NYJ · 2025	7

Jaydon Blue’s last 5 games on one page

This matchup

The rest of CAR vs PHI

Opponent: CAR
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET
Availability: Injury reports: not on StatIQ for NFL yet
Opponent defense: CAR allowed the 8th-most rushing yards to RBs in 2025 106.4 yards/game · 8th of 32
Against CAR: 0 yards a game 1 previous meeting · small sample

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Rushing Yards · Jaydon Blue

Rushing Yards · line 21.5 · each book’s price for both sides. “Best” is the best among eligible books on that side, not a pick.

Book	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
FanDuelOct 18, 4:45 AM ET	−113Best	−113Best
Shown, never used as our price
FliffOct 18, 4:44 AM ET	−120	−125

Eligible books quote this line and can be marked Best. Offshore, sweepstakes and pick’em rows, and any price at a different line, are shown but not eligible for Best.

Prices as of Oct 18, 4:45 AM ET.

About these books

Sweepstakes. Sweepstakes, not cash betting. This number is priced in promotional currency with playthrough and redemption limits, so it is worth less than the same number at a cash book. We never count it as a best price.

Research

Ask Explorer about Jaydon Blue

Questions to ask Explorer about Jaydon Blue, answered here:

Model accuracy

NFL rushing-yard model · 51 graded projections

23.8 yardsaverage miss (mean absolute error)

30 of 51 within 25 yards

30 of 51 landed within 25 yards (shaded) · one dot per completed projection

Neither number is a range for this game.

See the 2026 NFL forward test

How this is calculated

StatIQ projects Jaydon Blue for 47.7 rushing yards against CAR in Week 6. One number, not a range or a promised outcome. For context, Jaydon Blue has averaged 25.8 yards over his last 5 games and 0 yards across 1 game against CAR; the model is not recomputed from those averages.

Projection: StatIQ’s single number for Jaydon Blue’s rushing yards in this game: not a range and not a pick.
Line: The market’s number for the same stat (consensus across books), shown so you can compare.
Gap: Projection minus the line (+26.1 here). A difference, never an edge.
Average miss: The average miss is the average distance between our rushing yards projection and the actual result, over 51 completed projections across all players this season.
Actual: Jaydon Blue’s box-score result in each regular-season game (via ESPN): the bars in the chart.

Common questions

What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Jaydon Blue vs CAR?

StatIQ projects Jaydon Blue for 47.7 yards rushing yards against CAR in Week 6. It is the model's single-number projection (not a range or a guaranteed outcome) with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jaydon Blue performed in rushing yards recently?

Jaydon Blue has averaged 25.8 yards over his last 5 games and 0 yards across 1 game against CAR. That is context to weigh the projection against. The model is not recomputed from these averages.

How many rushing yards did Jaydon Blue have in his last game?

Jaydon Blue had 64 yards rushing yards in his most recent game vs NYG. The full game log on the page has the rest.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 51 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.8 yards of the actual result on average. That is the track record behind this number.

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