StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projections

SEA · WR · #11
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs LAC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
6.4receptions projected vs LAC
Season average 9 · Last five 8.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
0368118NE9ARI10WSHStatIQ projection 6.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ WSH10
Sep 20, 2026@ @ ARI9
Sep 10, 2026vs vs NE8
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jaxon Smith-Njigba trending lately?8.4 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 6.4 receptions

StatIQ projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 6.4 receptions against LAC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 8.4 over his last 5 games and 9 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
LAC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
8.4 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs LAC?

StatIQ projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 6.4 receptions against LAC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jaxon Smith-Njigba performed in receptions recently?

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 8.4 over his last 5 games and 9 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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