StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jalen Nailor Projections

LV · WR · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs KC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
1.8receptions projected vs KC
Season average 1.7 · Last five 1.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
012333MIA1LAC1NOStatIQ projection 1.8
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ NO1
Sep 20, 2026@ @ LAC1
Sep 13, 2026vs vs MIA3
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jalen Nailor
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jalen Nailor trending lately?1.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jalen Nailor, 1.8 receptions

StatIQ projects Jalen Nailor for 1.8 receptions against KC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jalen Nailor has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 1.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jalen Nailor’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
KC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
1.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Jalen Nailor vs KC?

StatIQ projects Jalen Nailor for 1.8 receptions against KC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jalen Nailor performed in receptions recently?

Jalen Nailor has averaged 1.6 over his last 5 games and 1.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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