StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Jalen Nailor Projections

LV · WR · #9
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs KC
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
23.5receiving yards projected vs KC
Season average 17.3 · Last five 20.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0815233027MIA9LAC16NOStatIQ projection 23.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ NO16
Sep 20, 2026@ @ LAC9
Sep 13, 2026vs vs MIA27
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Jalen Nailor
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Jalen Nailor trending lately?20.2 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Jalen Nailor, 23.5 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Jalen Nailor for 23.5 receiving yards against KC in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Jalen Nailor has averaged 20.2 yards over his last 5 games and 17.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Jalen Nailor’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
KC
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
20.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Jalen Nailor vs KC?

StatIQ projects Jalen Nailor for 23.5 yards receiving yards against KC in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Jalen Nailor performed in receiving yards recently?

Jalen Nailor has averaged 20.2 yards over his last 5 games and 17.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of KC vs LV
the whole game
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