StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

George Kittle Projections

SF · TE · #85
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DEN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
4.9receptions projected vs DEN
Season average 4 · Last five 4.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
023572LAR4MIA6ARIStatIQ projection 4.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI6
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA4
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into George Kittle
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is George Kittle trending lately?4.8 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: George Kittle, 4.9 receptions

StatIQ projects George Kittle for 4.9 receptions against DEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: George Kittle has averaged 4.8 over his last 5 games and 4 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See George Kittle’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.8 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for George Kittle vs DEN?

StatIQ projects George Kittle for 4.9 receptions against DEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has George Kittle performed in receptions recently?

George Kittle has averaged 4.8 over his last 5 games and 4 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DEN vs SF
the whole game
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