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Geno Smith Projections

NYJ · QB · #7
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
209.4passing yards projected vs CHI
Season average 261 · Last five 232
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
090180270360215TEN247GB321DETStatIQ projection 209.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ DET321
Sep 20, 2026vs vs GB247
Sep 13, 2026@ @ TEN215
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Geno Smith
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Geno Smith done against CHI?117 yards per game1 game vs CHIExplore this question

Projection context: Geno Smith, 209.4 passing yards

StatIQ projects Geno Smith for 209.4 passing yards against CHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Geno Smith has averaged 232 yards over his last 5 games, 261 yards per game this season (2026), and 117 yards across 1 game against CHI. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Geno Smith’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
232 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for Geno Smith vs CHI?

StatIQ projects Geno Smith for 209.4 yards passing yards against CHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Geno Smith performed in passing yards recently?

Geno Smith has averaged 232 yards over his last 5 games, 261 yards per game this season (2026), and 117 yards across 1 game against CHI. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CHI vs NYJ
the whole game
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