| Date | Opponent | PASS YDS |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ @ DET | 321 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | vs vs GB | 247 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ @ TEN | 215 |
StatIQ projects Geno Smith for 209.4 passing yards against CHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.
What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Geno Smith has averaged 232 yards over his last 5 games, 261 yards per game this season (2026), and 117 yards across 1 game against CHI. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.
StatIQ projects Geno Smith for 209.4 yards passing yards against CHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.
Geno Smith has averaged 232 yards over his last 5 games, 261 yards per game this season (2026), and 117 yards across 1 game against CHI. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.
Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.