StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Luther Burden III Projections

CHI · WR · #10
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs NYJ
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
REC YDSREC
58.4receiving yards projected vs NYJ
Season average 52 · Last five 65.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01835537163CAR32MIN61PHIStatIQ projection 58.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 29, 2026vs vs PHI61
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIN32
Sep 13, 2026@ @ CAR63
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Luther Burden III
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Luther Burden III trending lately?65.8 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Luther Burden III, 58.4 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Luther Burden III for 58.4 receiving yards against NYJ in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Luther Burden III has averaged 65.8 yards over his last 5 games and 52 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Luther Burden III’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
NYJ
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
65.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Luther Burden III vs NYJ?

StatIQ projects Luther Burden III for 58.4 yards receiving yards against NYJ in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Luther Burden III performed in receiving yards recently?

Luther Burden III has averaged 65.8 yards over his last 5 games and 52 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CHI vs NYJ
the whole game
See the full NFL slate