StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Garrett Wilson Projections

NYJ · WR · #5
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs CHI
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
5.5receptions projected vs CHI
Season average 7 · Last five 4.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
0368116TEN5GB10DETStatIQ projection 5.5
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ DET10
Sep 20, 2026vs vs GB5
Sep 13, 2026@ @ TEN6
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Garrett Wilson
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Garrett Wilson trending lately?4.8 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Garrett Wilson, 5.5 receptions

StatIQ projects Garrett Wilson for 5.5 receptions against CHI in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Garrett Wilson has averaged 4.8 over his last 5 games and 7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Garrett Wilson’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
CHI
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
4.8 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Garrett Wilson vs CHI?

StatIQ projects Garrett Wilson for 5.5 receptions against CHI in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Garrett Wilson performed in receptions recently?

Garrett Wilson has averaged 4.8 over his last 5 games and 7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CHI vs NYJ
the whole game
See the full NFL slate