StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Drew Sample Projections

CIN · TE · #89
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs JAX
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
1.6receptions projected vs JAX
Season average 2 · Last five 2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
012333TB0HOU1PITStatIQ projection 1.6
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 27, 2026@ @ PIT1
Sep 20, 2026@ @ HOU0
Sep 13, 2026vs vs TB3
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Drew Sample
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has Drew Sample done against JAX?1 per game1 game vs JAXExplore this question

Projection context: Drew Sample, 1.6 receptions

StatIQ projects Drew Sample for 1.6 receptions against JAX in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Drew Sample has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 2 per game this season (2026), and 1 across 1 game against JAX. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Drew Sample’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
JAX
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Drew Sample vs JAX?

StatIQ projects Drew Sample for 1.6 receptions against JAX in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Drew Sample performed in receptions recently?

Drew Sample has averaged 2 over his last 5 games, 2 per game this season (2026), and 1 across 1 game against JAX. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of CIN vs JAX
the whole game
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