StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Derrick Henry Projections

BAL · RB · #22
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs TEN
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
RUSH YDSRUSH+REC
92.2rushing yards projected vs TEN
Season average 100.3 · Last five 128.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
04081121161144IND68NO89DALStatIQ projection 92.2
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs DAL89
Sep 20, 2026vs vs NO68
Sep 13, 2026@ @ IND144
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Derrick Henry
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Derrick Henry trending lately?128.6 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Derrick Henry, 92.2 rushing yards

StatIQ projects Derrick Henry for 92.2 rushing yards against TEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Derrick Henry has averaged 128.6 yards over his last 5 games and 100.3 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Derrick Henry’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
TEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
128.6 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for Derrick Henry vs TEN?

StatIQ projects Derrick Henry for 92.2 yards rushing yards against TEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Derrick Henry performed in rushing yards recently?

Derrick Henry has averaged 128.6 yards over his last 5 games and 100.3 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of BAL vs TEN
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