StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

David Montgomery Projections

HOU · RB · #32
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DAL
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
45.4rushing yards projected vs DAL
Season average 34.3 · Last five 34
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 23.9 yards of the result
Recent rushing yards
01734506760BUF10CIN33INDStatIQ projection 45.4
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentRUSH YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ IND33
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CIN10
Sep 13, 2026vs vs BUF60
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into David Montgomery
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has David Montgomery done against DAL?60 yards per game1 game vs DALExplore this question

Projection context: David Montgomery, 45.4 rushing yards

StatIQ projects David Montgomery for 45.4 rushing yards against DAL in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: David Montgomery has averaged 34 yards over his last 5 games, 34.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 60 yards across 1 game against DAL. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See David Montgomery’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Rushing Yards track record
23.9yards
average projection miss
25 within
169 completed rushing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DAL
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
34 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's rushing yards projection for David Montgomery vs DAL?

StatIQ projects David Montgomery for 45.4 yards rushing yards against DAL in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has David Montgomery performed in rushing yards recently?

David Montgomery has averaged 34 yards over his last 5 games, 34.3 yards per game this season (2026), and 60 yards across 1 game against DAL. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's rushing yards projections?

Across 169 completed rushing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 23.9 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DAL vs HOU
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