StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

C.J. Stroud Projections

HOU · QB · #7
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DAL
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
PASS YDSPASS TD
241.9passing yards projected vs DAL
Season average 264.7 · Last five 241.4
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 62.8 yards of the result
Recent passing yards
099198297395274BUF353CIN167INDStatIQ projection 241.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentPASS YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ IND167
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CIN353
Sep 13, 2026vs vs BUF274
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into C.J. Stroud
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is C.J. Stroud trending lately?241.4 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: C.J. Stroud, 241.9 passing yards

StatIQ projects C.J. Stroud for 241.9 passing yards against DAL in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: C.J. Stroud has averaged 241.4 yards over his last 5 games and 264.7 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See C.J. Stroud’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Passing Yards track record
62.8yards
average projection miss
45 within
89 completed passing yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DAL
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
241.4 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's passing yards projection for C.J. Stroud vs DAL?

StatIQ projects C.J. Stroud for 241.9 yards passing yards against DAL in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has C.J. Stroud performed in passing yards recently?

C.J. Stroud has averaged 241.4 yards over his last 5 games and 264.7 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's passing yards projections?

Across 89 completed passing yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 62.8 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DAL vs HOU
the whole game
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