StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

David Montgomery Projections

HOU · RB · #32
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DAL
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
16.1receiving yards projected vs DAL
Season average 16 · Last five 15.2
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
0511162119BUF14CIN15INDStatIQ projection 16.1
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026@ @ IND15
Sep 20, 2026vs vs CIN14
Sep 13, 2026vs vs BUF19
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into David Montgomery
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How has David Montgomery done against DAL?13 yards per game1 game vs DALExplore this question

Projection context: David Montgomery, 16.1 receiving yards

StatIQ projects David Montgomery for 16.1 receiving yards against DAL in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: David Montgomery has averaged 15.2 yards over his last 5 games, 16 yards per game this season (2026), and 13 yards across 1 game against DAL. That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See David Montgomery’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DAL
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
15.2 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for David Montgomery vs DAL?

StatIQ projects David Montgomery for 16.1 yards receiving yards against DAL in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has David Montgomery performed in receiving yards recently?

David Montgomery has averaged 15.2 yards over his last 5 games, 16 yards per game this season (2026), and 13 yards across 1 game against DAL. That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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