StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Courtland Sutton Projections

DEN · WR · #14
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs SF
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
3.9receptions projected vs SF
Season average 2.7 · Last five 2.6
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 1.7 of the result
Recent receptions
012342KC3JAX3LARStatIQ projection 3.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC
Sep 28, 2026vs vs LAR3
Sep 20, 2026vs vs JAX3
Sep 15, 2026@ @ KC2
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Courtland Sutton
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Courtland Sutton trending lately?2.6 per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Courtland Sutton, 3.9 receptions

StatIQ projects Courtland Sutton for 3.9 receptions against SF in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Courtland Sutton has averaged 2.6 over his last 5 games and 2.7 per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Courtland Sutton’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receptions track record
1.7
average projection miss
1.5 within
484 completed receptions projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
SF
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
2.6 over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receptions projection for Courtland Sutton vs SF?

StatIQ projects Courtland Sutton for 3.9 receptions against SF in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Courtland Sutton performed in receptions recently?

Courtland Sutton has averaged 2.6 over his last 5 games and 2.7 per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receptions projections?

Across 484 completed receptions projections, StatIQ has landed within 1.7 of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

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