StatIQNFL projections — with the receipts

Christian McCaffrey Projections

SF · RB · #23
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
vs DEN
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET · Week 4
Compare
37.9receiving yards projected vs DEN
Season average 34.7 · Last five 35.8
Updated Oct 1
Typically within 22.4 yards of the result
Recent receiving yards
01224364820LAR43MIA41ARIStatIQ projection 37.9
Tap a bar — or a row below — to link a number to its game.
DateOpponentREC YDS
Sep 27, 2026vs vs ARI41
Sep 20, 2026vs vs MIA43
Sep 11, 2026vs vs LAR20
Splits are what he has actually done. The projection is pinned — it does not change when you switch splits.
Dig deeper into Christian McCaffrey
Recent games, opponent history, third downs, injuries, comparisons, the exact plays — you decide.
How is Christian McCaffrey trending lately?35.8 yards per gameover the last 5 gamesExplore this question

Projection context: Christian McCaffrey, 37.9 receiving yards

StatIQ projects Christian McCaffrey for 37.9 receiving yards against DEN in Week 4. It’s the model’s single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — and the game log above is the actual history behind it, so you can judge the number yourself.

What we’re seeing, as supporting evidence rather than the reason the model landed on this number: Christian McCaffrey has averaged 35.8 yards over his last 5 games and 34.7 yards per game this season (2026). That’s the recent record to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

See Christian McCaffrey’s last 5 games in full
StatIQ’s Receiving Yards track record
22.4yards
average projection miss
25 within
482 completed receiving yards projections across all players
See the 2026 forward test
This matchup
Opponent
DEN
Kickoff
Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET
Status
No injury designation — board data as of Oct 2, 2:13 AM
Recent form
35.8 yards over the last 5
Common questions
What is StatIQ's receiving yards projection for Christian McCaffrey vs DEN?

StatIQ projects Christian McCaffrey for 37.9 yards receiving yards against DEN in Week 4. It is the model's single-number projection — not a range or a guaranteed outcome — with the full game log on the page so you can weigh it yourself.

How has Christian McCaffrey performed in receiving yards recently?

Christian McCaffrey has averaged 35.8 yards over his last 5 games and 34.7 yards per game this season (2026). That is context to weigh the projection against — the model is not recomputed from these averages.

How accurate are StatIQ's receiving yards projections?

Across 482 completed receiving yards projections, StatIQ has landed within 22.4 yards of the actual result on average — the track record behind this number.

The rest of DEN vs SF
the whole game
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